Illustration of Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff crossing tennis rackets before the 2025 French Open final

French Open 2025 Final Preview: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff with Key Stats Every Tennis Fan Should Know

With the clay of Court Philippe-Chatrier set for one final showdown (Saturday, June 7, 2025), the women’s singles final at Roland Garros 2025 brings together two of the sport’s most electrifying forces: Aryna Sabalenka, who stunned the reigning queen of Paris in the semifinals, and Coco Gauff, the American prodigy whose maturity and grit have propelled her back to the championship stage. Both women arrive in the final not merely as competitors, but as embodiments of contrasting tennis philosophies — power versus precision, explosiveness versus elasticity. The match promises not just a title, but a potential torch-passing moment in the evolution of the women’s game.

Sabalenka Books Statement SF-Win

Sabalenka’s semifinal conquest of Iga Świątek — a player who had not lost at Roland Garros since 2021 — will resonate as one of the tournament’s defining statements. Unnerved by the aura of Świątek’s clay-court reign, Sabalenka brought unrelenting pace and surprising discipline, dismantling her opponent’s rhythm in the third set. It was a performance that showcased the Belarusian’s growing maturity: the balance between her innate aggression and the self-possession required to weather momentum shifts. Her serve, often her Achilles’ heel on clay, held firm under pressure, offering her a reliable launching pad against Świątek’s return game. If she can summon that same composure on Saturday, she will enter the final as a formidable favorite.

An evolved Coco Gauff

Yet Coco Gauff presents a different kind of challenge — one more psychological than stylistic. The 2022 runner-up has evolved since her first appearance in a Slam final, not only refining her forehand and strengthening her second serve, but also learning how to manage the emotional weight of these occasions. Her movement on clay remains unparalleled, and her court sense — the instinct to extend points and construct openings — has matured into a genuine weapon. In front of a crowd eager for a new champion, Gauff’s calm under pressure and increasingly aggressive shot selection may prove just as crucial as her defensive dexterity.

The Bookies’ Predictions Might Have Gotten This Wrong

In a contest where first-strike tennis will collide with counter-punching brilliance, the margins will be razor-thin. Sabalenka’s recent triumph over Świątek will give her confidence, but Gauff’s ability to absorb power and turn defense into offense could sap that momentum over time. Ultimately, this final may be decided not by shot-making alone, but by who better controls their nerves at critical junctures.In what promises to be a generational clash of wills, Sabalenka is tipped to edge Gauff in a dramatic three-set encounter, claiming her maiden Roland Garros crown and staking her claim as the year’s most complete competitor. However, we believe the bookies might have it wrong this time. If we were professional tipsters, our pick would be Coco Gauff to win the final.

Key Stats You Should Know

Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff – H2H & Bios

Category Sabalenka Gauff
Total Wins55
Win Streak10
Official Ranking12
Race Ranking15
Live Ranking12
Live Race Ranking15
Age27 (5 May 1998)21 (13 Mar 2004)
BirthplaceMinsk, BelarusAtlanta, Georgia, U.S.
ResidenceMiami, Florida, USDelray Beach, Florida, U.S.
Height5’11” (182cm)5’8″ (175cm)
Weight176lbs (80kg)121lbs (55kg)
PlaysRight-handed (two-handed backhand)Right-handed (two-handed backhand)
Turned Pro20152018
CoachAnton DubrovMatt Daly (2024–)
YTD W/L38-6 (86%)28-8 (78%)
YTD Titles31
Career Titles209
Prize MoneyUS$34,499,838 – 9th all-timeUS$24,368,100 – 18th all-time

Past Meetings

Date Tournament – Round Result
3 May 2025WTA Madrid – FinalSabalenka d Gauff 6-3 7-6
8 Nov 2024WTA Finals – SemifinalGauff d Sabalenka 7-6 6-3
12 Oct 2024WTA Wuhan – SemifinalSabalenka d Gauff 1-6 6-4 6-4
25 Jan 2024Australian Open – SemifinalSabalenka d Gauff 7-6 6-4
9 Sep 2023US Open – FinalGauff d Sabalenka 2-6 6-3 6-2
15 Mar 2023WTA Indian Wells – QuarterfinalSabalenka d Gauff 6-4 6-0
11 Aug 2022WTA Toronto – R16Gauff d Sabalenka 7-5 4-6 7-6
13 May 2021WTA Rome – R16Gauff d Sabalenka 7-5 6-3
22 Oct 2020WTA Ostrava – R16Sabalenka d Gauff 1-6 7-5 7-6
12 Aug 2020WTA Lexington – R16Gauff d Sabalenka 7-6 4-6 6-4

Sabalenka vs Gauff – Odds Overview

Market Average
Type Sabalenka Gauff
Moneyline1.512.61
Spread-3.5 (1.87)+3.5 (1.88)
Total GamesOver 21.5 (1.85) / Under 21.5 (1.89)

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