We’ve now reached the part of the year that always feels like the sport’s proper reckoning: the top-10 assessments, served up just before Christmas, when the glow of highlight reels gives way to cold, honest detail. And here’s the delicious bit of tension: between No. 7 Jasmine Paolini and No. 8 Madison Keys there were only 16 WTA ranking points, basically a couple of routine holds and a brisk handshake.
Andreeva began 2025 on No. 15, and by the end she was parked just six points behind Keys, close enough to hear the top 10 breathing — and 2025 explained exactly why.
Brisbane Spark, Melbourne Reality Check
Andreeva’s year effectively lit up in Brisbane, where she handled Anna Blinkova (6-4, 6-4) and flattened Linda Noskova (6-3, 6-0) with a punchy second-serve winning rate (76.0%) that screamed “upgrade.” She even took out Linda Niskova with a bagel and Ons Jabeur (6-4, 7-6), then ran into the hard truth of modern power tennis as Aryna Sabalenka batted her aside in the semis (6-3, 6-2), with the double-fault rate climbing (8.2%) and the second-serve points won slipping (45.5%).
At the Australian Open she looked like a seed who meant it against Marie Bouzkova (6-3, 6-3) and survived a classic nerves-and-nerve-endings scrap with Moyuka Uchijima (6-4, 3-6, 7-6(10-8)), saving 60% of break points (6/10). The warning flare came against Magdalena Frech in a three-set wobble (6-2, 1-6, 6-2), and then Sabalenka reappeared like a recurring nightmare, ripping her out of the tournament in the fourth round (6-1, 6-2) as Andreeva’s first-serve points won dipped to 55.6% and the whole match lasted barely an hour.
The Doha Stumble That Set Up a Dubai Statement
Doha was messy but instructive. Andreeva dragged herself past Katie Volynets (4-6, 7-6, 6-4) despite saving just 20% of break points (1/5), then was edged by Rebecca Sramkova (3-6, 6-3, 7-5). The losses didn’t send her into a sulk spiral — she’s got that champion’s habit of treating inconvenience as information, not insult.
Dubai was the response — a proper one. The Krasnojarsk-born ripped through Elina Avanesyan (6-2, 6-1) and rolled Marketa Vondrousova (7-5, 6-0), even with double faults popping up (11.9%) because she was constantly first to the ball. The tournament turned into a statement piece when she dismissed Peyton Stearns (6-1, 6-1) and then outplayed Iga Swiatek (6-3, 6-3), saving 87.5% of break points (7/8) while landing only 50% of first serves — the sort of clutch math you usually don’t get from teenagers.
Beating Elena Rybakina (6-4, 4-6, 6-3) set the table, and the final against Clara Tauson (7-6(1), 6-1) ended with Andreeva lifting a title.
Indian Wells Crowned Her — Miami Reminded Her
Indian Wells was Andreeva’s loudest month and her most adult tennis. She navigated Varvara Gracheva (7-5, 6-4), erased Tauson again (6-3, 6-0), then made a mockery of the Rybakina matchup (6-1, 6-2) by winning 80% of first-serve points and refusing to let rallies grow teeth. She backed it up against Elina Svitolina (7-5, 6-3), saving five of six break points, then found the nerve to outlast Swiatek again in the semis (7-6, 1-6, 6-3), the kind of match where plenty of players spend the third set arguing with themselves.
In the final she came back on Sabalenka (2-6, 6-4, 6-3) and snagged the season’s defining trophy, doing it with sturdy serving volume (68.3% first serves in) and just enough break-point resistance (50% saved) to keep the match within reach until her legs and timing took over.
On top of that she delivered one of the funniest winner’s speech probably ever: “I wanna thank… me for keeping running like a rabbit.” It was a line that landed because it fit the season — self-belief, but with a grin.
Miami was the counterweight. She obliterated Veronika Kudermetova (6-0, 6-2) while winning 89.5% of first-serve points, then got clipped by Amanda Anisimova (7-6, 2-6, 6-3) — the sort of loss she didn’t wear like a tragedy, more like a note in the margins.
Clay Progress, Then the Gauff Problem
Stuttgart began with the oddity of beating Erika Andreeva (6-2, 1-0 ret.) before Ekaterina Alexandrova stopped her (6-3, 6-2), exposing how quickly clay can punish a low first-serve day (48.0% in).
In Madrid she put together quality wins over Marie Bouzkova (6-3, 6-4), Magdalena Frech (7-5, 6-3), and qualifier Yuliia Starodubtseva (6-1, 6-4), saving every break point she faced in that third match (9/9). Then Coco Gauff arrived and made Andreeva’s second serve feel like it had an expiry date (7-5, 6-1).
Rome was better — and more frustrating. Andreeva beat Emiliana Arango (6-2, 6-4) and Linda Noskova (6-1, 7-5), then came through a three-set grind with Tauson (5-7, 6-3, 6-2) with eight of ten break points saved. But Gauff blocked the path again in the quarters (6-4, 7-6(5)), this time by refusing to donate the tight points.
Roland Garros: One Bad Afternoon, A Brutal Lesson
Paris looked like it was building toward a real run. Andreeva handled Cristina Bucsa (6-4, 6-3), beat Ashlyn Krueger (6-3, 6-4), brushed aside Yulia Putintseva (6-3, 6-1), and managed the tricky geometry of Daria Kasatkina (6-3, 7-5).
Then came one of the season’s harshest plot twists: a quarterfinal loss to wildcard Lois Boisson (7-6, 6-3), with Andreeva winning just 29.7% of second-serve points and saving only 54.5% of break points.
She often did feel hard done by in those moments, the frustration lingering longer than it should, and the reset coming only after the damage was done.
It’s a point her coach Conchita Martínez would readily agree with — one of the few remaining gaps between Andreeva’s talent and her consistency at the very top.
Grass Gains, Wimbledon Heartbreak
The grass season began with a thud in Berlin, where Frech flipped the script (2-6, 7-5, 6-0) and Andreeva’s second-serve points won collapsed to 30.0% as the match wore on.
She steadied in Bad Homburg by turning around Tauson (3-6, 6-3, 6-1), only to get checked by Noskova (6-3, 6-3) on a day when the double faults (10.0%) piled up at exactly the wrong times.
Wimbledon, though, was a genuine stride forward. She dismissed Mayar Sherif (6-3, 6-3), negotiated Lucia Bronzetti (6-1, 7-6), and knocked out Hailey Baptiste (6-1, 6-3) before announcing herself to the All England Club crowd against Emma Navarro (6-2, 6-3) in the fourth round. The quarterfinal against Belinda Bencic was pure fine margins — two tiebreaks, two lost (7-6(3), 7-6(2)) — the kind of match where you’re not beaten so much as out-timed.
Hard-Court Authority, Then A Few Loose Ends
Montreal ended abruptly after a walkover win over Bianca Andreescu, then a loss to McCartney Kessler (7-6, 6-4) where Andreeva’s first-serve points won dropped into coin-flip territory (52.6%).
At the US Open she looked terrifying early, blasting Alycia Parks (6-0, 6-1) and then handling Anastasia Potapova (6-1, 6-3), before getting hit by the lefty-and-net cocktail as Taylor Townsend knocked her out (7-5, 6-2).
Beijing brought clean wins over Lin Zhu (6-2, 6-2) and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (6-4, 6-1), then a scrap she couldn’t quite land against Sonay Kartal (7-5, 2-6, 7-5).
Wuhan was a long, draining loss to Laura Siegemund (6-7, 6-3, 6-3) with double faults (13.0%) dragging at her ankles, and Ningbo finished with a jolt as Zhu turned the tables (4-6, 6-3, 6-2), Andreeva’s second-serve points won sliding to 35.1% as the season finally showed its mileage.
Mirra Andreeva Assessment
What improved was the most valuable thing in tennis: her ability to beat the very best without needing a perfect serving day, and without treating adversity like a personal insult.
In Dubai she beat Swiatek while landing only 50% of first serves and still saved 7 of 8 break points; in Indian Wells she beat both Swiatek (7-6, 1-6, 6-3) and Sabalenka (from a set down) in matches that demanded emotional control as much as ball-striking.
Add in the way she handled Navarro at Wimbledon and the early-round brutality at the US Open, and you’ve got a player whose tennis authority is already top-10 standard.
What still limits titles — yes, even in a two-trophy season — is how quickly her serve (and attitude) can turn from platform to problem under pressure or fatigue.
The Roland Garros loss to Boisson featured a second-serve collapse (29.7% won) that simply can’t happen in late rounds, and the autumn defeats to Siegemund and Zhu came with double-fault spikes and second-serve leakage that invited opponents back into matches she should have owned.
The margins she’s now living in are microscopic, and the serve is the only part of her game that still sometimes behaves like it hasn’t read the ranking.
Final Verdict A-
Andreeva’s 2025 was the year the hype finally got receipts: two big titles, repeat wins over Swiatek, and a growing habit of beating elite players on days when her serve isn’t behaving — plus the self-assured comedy of someone who can win a trophy, grab a mic, and deadpan “I wanna thank… me.”
Clean up the late-season serving volatility and she won’t just be six points off the top eight. She’ll be looking back up at the top five — where she was before the US Open 2025 even started — and wondering why they’re taking so long.
GPA: 3.6
And when she walks into the Australian Open 2026, the ridiculous part is she’ll still only be 18 years old.
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Navarro’s 2025: A Year Spent Wrestling With the Weight of the Top 10
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