The women’s draw at the US Open 2025 has reached its most compelling stage yet. With Coco Gauff and Naomi Osaka set for a blockbuster clash, Aryna Sabalenka, Elena Rybakina, and Iga Swiatek still in the hunt, and American hopefuls Jessica Pegula, Ashlyn Li, Taylor Townsend, and Amanda Anisimova pushing deep, the quarterfinals promise high drama in New York.
Sabalenka vs Bucsa – Prediction: Sabalenka in Straight Sets
Aryna Sabalenka has looked relentless in her march through the draw, and against Spain’s Cristina Bucsa she enters as the overwhelming favorite. Bucsa’s resilience has carried her this far, but Sabalenka’s firepower and confidence on the big stage should prove decisive. Expect the Belarusian to dominate from the baseline and close this out quickly.
Rybakina vs Vondrousova – Prediction: Rybakina in Three
Elena Rybakina’s serve and clean baseline game make her the frontrunner, though Marketa Vondrousova’s crafty variety could complicate matters. If Rybakina keeps her rhythm, her power should eventually overwhelm the Czech. Expect a tight battle, but Rybakina’s weapons give her the edge in three sets.
Pegula vs Li – Prediction: Pegula in Two Tight Sets
Jessica Pegula stands as the most consistent American at the Grand Slams and is favored against fellow countrywoman Ashlyn Li. Li’s fearless hitting has been the surprise story of the tournament, but Pegula’s steadiness and tactical discipline should prevail. Look for Pegula to absorb Li’s pace and advance in straight, but competitive, sets.
Krejcikova vs Townsend – Prediction: Krejcikova in Three
Barbora Krejcikova’s tactical variety makes her the favorite against Taylor Townsend, whose daring net-rushing style has thrilled fans. Townsend will look to disrupt, but Krejcikova’s adaptability and ability to handle pressure moments give her the upper hand. She will handle it better than Mirra Andreeva. Expect Townsend to steal a set with her aggression, but Krejcikova’s balance should see her through.
Muchova vs Kostyuk – Prediction: Muchova in Three
Karolina Muchova’s resilience and all-court craft put her slightly ahead against Ukraine’s Marta Kostyuk, who has impressed with her athleticism and baseline aggression. Kostyuk’s fearless play makes her a dangerous challenger, but Muchova’s variety and ability to control tempo tilt the matchup in her favor. A three-set grinder feels likely.
Osaka vs Gauff – Prediction: Osaka in Three Sets
The marquee matchup arrives in prime time. Naomi Osaka, a four-time Grand Slam champion rediscovering her best form, takes on Coco Gauff, the U.S. Open’s brightest home hope. Osaka’s serve and flat power give her the edge, but Gauff’s athleticism and defensive brilliance will make this a war. Expect momentum swings, highlight rallies, and a crowd-thrilling contest that Osaka edges in three.
Anisimova vs Sakkari/Haddad Maia – Prediction: Anisimova in Two
Amanda Anisimova will go into her quarterfinal as the favorite, whether against Maria Sakkari or Beatriz Haddad Maia. Both players have been battling inconsistency this season and only recently found form, while Anisimova’s clean power and hard-court game look sharper. Expect Anisimova to control the baseline and book a straight-sets win.
Swiatek vs Alexandrova – Prediction: Swiatek in Straight Sets
World No. 1 Iga Swiatek continues to look like the woman to beat. Against Ekaterina Alexandrova, she faces an opponent who can hit her off the court if she gets hot, but Swiatek’s ability to absorb pace and raise her level in big moments gives her the clear edge. A straight-sets win looks likely for the Pole.
The Road Ahead
With Osaka vs Gauff set to electrify New York, Sabalenka and Rybakina primed for deep runs, and Swiatek still the benchmark, the US Open 2025 women’s quarterfinals promise a thrilling blend of power, variety, and rising storylines. The favorites are expected to hold, but with so much talent on display, surprises are never far away on Arthur Ashe.