Swiatek’s Third-Set Collapse in Numbers: A True WTA Mystery as Sabalenka Storms Into 2025 Roland Garros Final

While everyone was preparing for a thrilling climax in the deciding set, the exact opposite happened: Iga Swiatek imploded in the 2025 French Open semifinal against Aryna Sabalenka.


Swiatek, who had come back brilliantly in the first set—turning a 3-0 and 4-1 deficit against an unstoppable Sabalenka into a 5-4 lead—met a strange fate in the tiebreak. She couldn’t win back-to-back points and lost the tiebreak without a chance, 7-1.
Fun fact: this was only the second tiebreak the two have ever played against each other.

In the second set, the return festival of the opener suddenly vanished.
Both players were now holding serve more comfortably — but unfortunately for Sabalenka, she had already dropped a service game early on. With Swiatek staying rock-solid from that point on, she was able to serve it out at 5-4 without trouble, leveling the match at one set apiece.

What unfolded in the third set defies explanation.
Trailing 0–1, Swiatek dropped her serve — and with it, her confidence seemed to melt away. What had happened in the first-set tiebreak now echoed throughout the entire decider. Her serve lost its bite, her forehand its feel, and the unraveling was so complete that Aryna Sabalenka didn’t even need to play her best to hand the Pole a bagel.

After a competitive opening set and an even sharper Swiatek in the second, the match ended with a surprising reality: the two rarely played well at the same time. While headlines may frame this as a dominant Sabalenka performance or a routine win, it was anything but.
Unlike her clash with Elena Rybakina — who struck the ball cleanly and consistently — this time, it was Swiatek who simply went off the boil without a reason.

Sabalenka vs Swiatek – Third Set Stats

Stat Sabalenka Swiatek
Dominance Ratio4.000.25
Winners52
Serve Rating33088
Aces00
Double Faults02
1st Serve %80% (12/15)47% (7/15)
1st Serve Points Won83% (10/12)43% (3/7)
2nd Serve Points Won67% (2/3)0% (0/8)
Break Points Saved0% (0/3)
Service Games100% (3/3)0% (0/3)
Ace %0%0%
Double Fault %0%13.3%
Return Rating35750
1st Return Points Won57% (4/7)17% (2/12)
2nd Return Points Won100% (8/8)33% (1/3)
Break Points Won100% (3/3)
Return Games100% (3/3)0% (0/3)
Pressure Points100% (3/3)0% (0/3)
Service Points80% (12/15)20% (3/15)
Return Points80% (12/15)20% (3/15)
Net Points0% (0/1)67% (2/3)
Total Points80% (24/30)20% (6/30)
Max Points In A Row91
Match Points Saved00
Service Games Won100% (3/3)0% (0/3)
Return Games Won100% (3/3)0% (0/3)
Total Games Won100% (6/6)0% (0/6)
Max Games In A Row60
Injury Timeouts00
Set Duration0h 24m

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